AGP Executive Report

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USMCA Deadline: The U.S. won’t extend the Canada-Mexico trade pact by July 1, shifting the deal into annual review talks that could drag on for years and raise uncertainty for North American manufacturers. Food Packaging Rules: California’s new “sell by” ban takes effect, forcing standardized “Best if Used By” and “Use By” labels—aimed at cutting consumer confusion and food waste. Semiconductor Supply Chain: Samsung and SK hynix unveiled a combined $590B memory expansion plan in South Korea, a move that could intensify U.S. pressure on chipmakers to build more manufacturing on American soil. Manufacturing & Defense Testing: The Army is running developmental testing of low-profile CROWS integration into the M109A7 Paladin and M992A3 vehicles, pushing safer, more precise battlefield weapon operation. EV Battery Reality Check: New reporting suggests modern EV batteries are holding up far better than early models, with replacement rates dropping sharply for newer vehicles. Cross-Border Logistics Security: Mexico’s cargo theft is down, but attacks on truckers are deadlier—keeping supply chain risk top of mind for shippers.

North American Trade Uncertainty: The U.S. declined to renew USMCA on its current terms, shifting the pact into annual review talks and raising an “anxiety tax” for manufacturers that rely on predictable rules for autos, parts, and cross-border supply chains. Automation & Robotics: Trener Robotics says its Trener Robotics Acteris platform is scaling “pre-trained” Physical AI skills for CNC robot tasks, aiming to cut programming friction for high-mix production. Semiconductor Supply Chain: Micron and GM announced a strategic customer agreement to secure long-term memory and storage for vehicle production, reinforcing U.S. chip-to-automotive linkage. Space-Industrial Cost Pressure: A GAO report warns the Space Force’s satellite and ground procurement portfolio is seeing 32% cost growth and major delivery delays, with $11.4B in overruns tied to integration and launch schedule issues. EV Incentives: California’s new $135M first-time EV rebate program (matched by automakers) revives demand after the federal credit ended, offering up to $3,500 off new EVs. Regulatory Fight for Small Manufacturers: NFIB sued New Mexico over a PFAS labeling rule that it says creates a heavy compliance burden for small product makers.

Auto & Mobility: Tesla is expanding its robotaxi service to Miami, rolling out production-line Cybercabs for on-road testing as the company pushes beyond early Texas and California pilots. Chemicals & Materials: Covestro says it has completed its acquisition of former Vencorex HDI-derivatives plants in Thailand and Freeport, Texas, aiming to broaden capacity for high-performance polyurethane inputs across Asia-Pacific and North America. Manufacturing Heritage: Wyman-Gordon’s massive 50,000-ton hydraulic forging press in Grafton—nicknamed “Major”—is highlighted as the largest machine ever built, underscoring the depth of U.S. heavy manufacturing history. Trade & Supply Chains: The U.S. is seeing a World Cup-driven surge in soccer ball imports ahead of the 2026 tournament, with the first four months of 2026 hitting the highest level since 2002. Defense Industrial Base: The Air Force has entered operational preparation for the B-21 Raider at Ellsworth AFB, accepting the first dedicated facilities under a $2 billion modernization push. Policy & Operations: The U.S., Canada, and Mexico have begun USMCA negotiations for the pact’s first mandatory review, with talks focused on tightening rules tied to North American manufacturing.

Arctic Shipbuilding: The U.S. Coast Guard finalized contracts for six Arctic Security Cutters, split between Bollinger Shipyards (four ships, ~$2.2B) and Rauma Marine Constructions (two ships, ~$1.1B), with deliveries starting in 2028 and finishing by 2031—an industrial win tied to faster execution. AI + Power Demand: Trump says the U.S. must stay ahead in AI and argues AI buildout requires “double” electricity, backing a lighter regulatory approach while letting AI investors build their own power. US Labor Cooling: June hiring slowed sharply to 57,000 payroll gains and labor force participation hit a five-year low, with unemployment easing to 4.2% as people left the labor force; manufacturing added 3,000 jobs. USMCA Reset: The U.S. declined to renew USMCA in its current form, triggering trade reviews and adding uncertainty for cross-border manufacturers and agriculture supply chains. Manufacturing Alliances & Tech: Joby and Toyota launched an initial JV phase to improve eVTOL production systems; Siemens software was selected by ORECA for advanced simulation in racing development; and Tesla expanded robotaxi service to Miami. Materials & Sustainability: BMW M’s Neue Klasse concept uses Bcomp flax composites, while packaging policy debates continue over “sell-by”/“use-by” labeling and recycling fee impacts.

Industrial Policy & Security: Japan launched a CFIUS-style foreign investment screening panel to flag technology-leak and sensitive-data risks, while China tightened export controls on major Japanese firms, raising compliance burdens and supply-chain friction. Trade & Supply Chains: The U.S. declined to extend USMCA, shifting North America to annual reviews and renewed renegotiation uncertainty that could hit autos and other manufacturing supply chains. Grid & Data Centers: A heat-driven power crunch is concentrating risk in stressed regions like PJM, where operators are preparing for potential data-center curtailments as demand nears record peaks. Semiconductors: SEMI warned against U.S. attempts to steer memory pricing or capacity, arguing interventions could worsen the AI-driven supply deficit; separately, Kioxia shipped next-gen memory samples as demand rebounds. Manufacturing Expansion: 6K Additive broke ground on a Burgettstown, Pa. campus expansion backed by a DPA Title III grant to scale domestic metal powder output for defense and aerospace. Environment & Compliance: EPA approved BASF’s groundwater cleanup design in Michigan to prevent PFAS and other contaminants from reaching the Detroit River, with construction slated for early 2027. Energy & Politics: U.S. oil firms are set for their strongest quarterly profits in years, setting up a potential clash with Trump over gasoline prices.

Semiconductor Supply Chain: Apple is reportedly negotiating to buy memory components from two Chinese chipmakers (CXMT and YMTC) on a Pentagon blacklist, aiming to blunt a global memory shortage that’s already pushed up prices. Trade Policy: The U.S. declined to renew USMCA in its current form, setting up a new phase of North American talks and annual reviews that could complicate long-term manufacturing investment planning. Workforce & Chips: Schumer highlighted a new Binghamton University cleanroom and microelectronics packaging lab, backed by $1M in federal funding, as part of the push to grow the regional semiconductor workforce. Defense Manufacturing & Drones: The U.S. Army awarded AeroVironment a $500M contract for layered counter-drone systems, while the Pentagon created a Direct Reporting Portfolio Manager for Unmanned Systems to speed drone deployment. Energy & Power Infrastructure: South Korean power-equipment makers are landing major overseas deals as AI data center buildouts drive demand for distribution and transmission gear. Regulatory & Compliance: SBA and USDA signed an MOU to help farmers and small businesses report and fight “lawfare” that drives up costs. Consumer Safety: CPSC recalled Unity 7 Shot 200 Gram aerial fireworks due to explosion and burn hazards.

Semiconductor Investment: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) won approval for a $20B capital injection into its Arizona unit, including a 12-inch wafer fab and advanced packaging—bringing total cleared U.S. investment to $44B. EV & Batteries: Honda’s Jeffersonville plant has started full-time production of lithium battery cells for grid and storage uses, signaling continued U.S. battery capacity buildout beyond EV packs. Defense Manufacturing & Drones: XTEND advanced to Gauntlet II in the $1B Drone Dominance Program, with plans to procure 60,000 drone systems from top performers. Workforce Development: The U.S. Department of War launched “Build Freedom,” backing Mike Rowe’s mikeroweWORKS scholarships with $10M aimed at skilled trades for the defense industrial base. Trade Policy: The U.S. declined to extend USMCA, triggering a 10-year sunset countdown with annual reviews—raising uncertainty for North American supply chains. Supply Chain Costs: Shipping rates jumped as retailers front-loaded orders amid tariff uncertainty and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Regulatory/Legal: The EU’s top court upheld Google’s $4.1B Android antitrust fine, a reminder that platform rules can reshape tech ecosystems that feed manufacturing supply chains.

Supply Chain & Trade Policy: The U.S. will not renew USMCA “in its current form,” keeping the pact alive for 10 years via annual reviews while pushing bilateral talks with Mexico and Canada focused on autos and industrial rules of origin—raising uncertainty for North American manufacturing planning. Industrial Growth & Investment: L-H Battery began mass-producing lithium-ion cells at its Fayette County, Ohio plant, a $4.4B LG Energy Solution–Honda JV, with output initially aimed at energy storage systems. Workforce Development: IACMI is expanding its America’s Cutting Edge and METAL apprenticeship programs to reach 53 new training locations by 2030, including composite-focused courses. Manufacturing & Logistics Infrastructure: A $24M DOT BUILD grant will fund Paducah’s Riverport West expansion to move manufactured goods and agriculture by barge. Regulatory & Compliance Pressure: California’s July 1 food-labeling changes ban “sell by” dates and require standardized “Best if Used By” and “Use By” labels, adding new compliance steps for food manufacturers. Consumer Safety: FDA upgraded a Zapp’s/Dirty potato chip recall to Class I over potential salmonella contamination. Defense Industrial Base: Germany is seeking U.S. approval to manufacture Tomahawk and Patriot PAC-3 interceptors under license, aiming to diversify NATO missile production. Aerospace/Space: Rocket Lab agreed to acquire Iridium to build a more vertically integrated U.S. space and satellite services platform.

Regulatory Spillover: A new report spotlights the “California Effect,” where state rules (from EV standards to appliance efficiency) force nationwide product changes because automakers and manufacturers can’t justify separate builds for one market. Labor Pulse: ADP says private payrolls added 98,000 jobs in June, below expectations; manufacturing added 5,000, while education/health led with 48,000. Defense Industrial Base: Trump says Ford and GM are in talks with defense contractors to help manufacture Tomahawk cruise missiles and Patriot interceptors, aiming to boost surge capacity. EV Demand Watch: Tesla registrations rose in parts of Europe in June, signaling a regional sales rebound ahead of quarterly delivery updates. Semiconductor Supply Chain: Micron and GM signed a strategic customer agreement to secure long-term memory and storage supply for vehicle production, including DRAM expansion in Virginia. Manufacturing Investment: BMW finished a $1.7B Woodruff EV battery plant expansion, supporting electric X5 production and more EV models by 2030. Workforce & Skills: Texas State Technical College highlighted a Tesla-linked training program to build internal maintenance and manufacturing talent.

Food & Consumer Manufacturing: Nestlé says it will remove artificial food colorings from its global portfolio by end-2026, extending earlier U.S. moves as ingredient scrutiny and GLP-1-driven diet shifts reshape packaged-food demand. Auto & Industrial Labor: Ford is rehiring about 350 veteran “gray beard” engineers to retrain AI quality-control systems after quality issues, aiming to cut costs by $1B in 2026; separately, UAW Local 5101 workers at Woodward MPC in Niles rallied after voting to authorize a strike over stalled talks and alleged unfair labor practices. Aerospace/EV Manufacturing: Toyota and Joby Aviation will form a California joint venture to prepare for commercial production of Joby’s electric aircraft, with Toyota holding 51%. Biopharma & Domestic Supply Chains: FDA picked seven companies for its PreCheck Pilot Program to speed earlier regulatory engagement for new U.S. manufacturing facilities; FDA also approved Orca Bio’s TREGZI cell therapy for adults in matched-donor transplant settings. Policy & Inputs: Trump temporarily suspended countervailing duties on certain phosphate imports, projecting about $1.82B in annual savings for U.S. farmers and a sizable fertilizer price drop. Regulatory/Environment: Chemours faces a proposed settlement that would require $22.5M in civil penalties tied to PFAS discharges in West Virginia. Industrial AI M&A: Schneider Electric will buy Cognite for $3.1B to expand industrial AI software and data capabilities.

Housing Policy Standoff: President Trump dismissed the bipartisan ROAD to Housing Act/21st Century Housing Act package as “a big yawn,” even as he signaled he may not support parts of the compromise and acknowledged Senate passage is unlikely—leaving the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act’s fate uncertain. Nuclear Bottleneck: A year after Trump’s nuclear push, the U.S. still lacks a nationwide spent-fuel disposal plan, with DOE working on nuclear lifecycle “campuses” as AI-driven power demand raises pressure to scale nuclear. Defense Industrial Output: NATO leaders head to Ankara facing a familiar problem: turning rising defense budgets into enough missiles and tanks fast enough, with Europe urged to produce more and reduce reliance on the U.S. Manufacturing & Supply Chain Moves: Kyowa Kirin’s Sanford facility was selected for the FDA PreCheck Pilot Program to speed biologics manufacturing timelines; Microbot Medical is expanding production via a Sanmina manufacturing agreement; Trinity Biotech’s Trinovium secured Open Compute Project membership for AI data-center liquid cooling. Energy Storage Investment: Frontier Power USA added a $50M Hudson Bay equity commitment as part of a larger push to scale long-duration storage projects. Right-to-Repair Push: A Newsweek map shows only Massachusetts and Maine have broad right-to-repair protections, while Trump’s “freedom to fix” memo targets federal emissions rules.

Semiconductor Momentum: Micron reported a sharp revenue and profit surge, underscoring how AI-driven memory demand is reviving U.S. chip fortunes even as global rivals also rebound. Trade & Inputs: The White House will temporarily suspend some phosphate fertilizer duties from Morocco to ease U.S. supply strain tied to disruptions from the Iran war, while pushing longer-term domestic capacity. Nuclear Supply Chain: DOE is offering $17.5B in conditional loans to help utilities finance long-lead components for large commercial reactors, aiming to restart large-scale reactor construction with broader domestic sourcing. Defense Manufacturing: Continuous Composites won a multiyear U.S. Army contract to advance CF3D missile-component manufacturing, targeting faster, more affordable production. PFAS Accountability: Chemours reached a preliminary $450M settlement with EPA and West Virginia over PFAS releases, a major step in enforcement against a key industrial polluter. Regulatory Shockwaves: The Supreme Court expanded presidential power to fire independent agency leaders (with a Fed governor exception), a governance shift with potential downstream effects for manufacturing oversight. Biotech Manufacturing Capacity: WuXi Biologics resumed construction on its Worcester facility, now larger and aimed at 2028 completion, expanding U.S. biologics production capacity.

Power & Manufacturing Innovation: Arbor Energy says its rocket-engine-inspired, 3D-printed gas turbine could cut emissions and shorten turbine lead times that can stretch five years. Robotics & Automation Funding: EIS Automation closed a $2M growth raise to expand modular robotic systems, backed through Nevada’s manufacturing support programs. Defense Tech Production: Quantum Cyber is buying a Bridgeport, Conn. industrial site and installed metal-forming and machining equipment to build domestic drone warfare production capacity. AR/VR for the Military: Syntec Optics won an order to expand ballistic optics for AI-driven AR/VR glasses aimed at U.S. warfighters. Rare-Earth Supply Chain Fight: A lawsuit highlights the race to control U.S.-made rare-earth magnet supply as MP Materials and others compete for the next phase of domestic processing. Industrial Materials: Eastman partner Cabrellon is expanding BPA-free Tritan™ Renew copolyester for chocolate molds with added recycled content. Automotive Testing Supplier Win: DTS was named 2026 Supplier of the Year by Automotive Testing Technology International for crash-test sensor and data acquisition advances. Energy Markets Watch: Oil prices edged up after a U.S.-Iran pause in attacks, while negotiations are set to resume.

AI & Semiconductors: SK Group is pushing a U.S.-anchored AI push tied to SK Hynix, with reports of a major Honam semiconductor-cluster plan that could reshape Korea’s industrial footprint. Supply-Chain Security: Apple is lobbying the Trump administration to allow purchases of Chinese memory chips from CXMT, a firm tied to China’s military-linked blacklist. Clean Tech Manufacturing: Lawmakers reintroduced the Next Generation Shipping Act, proposing a $1B/year program to build clean shipping tech and infrastructure. Defense Microelectronics: BAE Systems says its Endura rad-hard space processor passed harsh strategic electronic-warfare testing using a trusted U.S. manufacturing model. Nuclear Manufacturing Demo: NNSA unveiled “Aires Tide,” an 11-foot AI-designed flight test vehicle built with 3D printing and high-performance computing. Medical Product Quality: Amgen recalled nearly 1M bottles of Corlanor and Sensipar after foreign material was found on tablet exteriors at a Thousand Oaks packaging area. Policy & Compliance: A bill would require cybersecurity checks for already-approved Chinese-made medical devices. Energy Logistics: Strait of Hormuz traffic is rebounding after a U.S.-Iran deal, but a new cargo-ship strike adds risk. Workforce Impact: A local group in Defiance is helping displaced UPS workers find new jobs as the hub closes.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths: A University of Michigan study says the U.S. and Canada may have enough rare earth deposits to reduce dependence on China, but scaling production would be costly and likely needs government support and cross-border coordination. Energy & Supply Chains: India’s BRICS energy strategy is framed as hedging—Russian crude plus Western-aligned solar manufacturing and African/Latin mineral deals—yet the piece argues each leg constrains the others. Industrial Policy & Regulation: A federal appeals court rejected the EPA’s bid to scrap a Biden-era soot rule, keeping tighter limits on fine particle pollution for power plants and industrial sources. Manufacturing Workforce & Competition: Vermont’s Beta Technologies expansion is pulling skilled aircraft maintenance staff from Green Mountain Avionics, highlighting how fast-growing manufacturers can strain local talent pools. Trade & Logistics: The Port of Brownsville finished a $295M ship-channel deepening to handle larger vessels and expand energy exports. Tech & Chips: India and the U.S. are deepening cooperation on semiconductors, AI, quantum tech, and critical minerals through “trusted” supply-chain projects. Auto & Reliability: J.D. Power data shows record owner-reported problems driven by software and connectivity, even as Lexus keeps topping dependability rankings. Defense Industrial Base: Reports say an Anduril plan to acquire Nissan’s Oppama plant in Japan is drawing anti-war protests over a shift from auto production to drone manufacturing.

Trade & Industrial Policy: Polestar says the Commerce Department denied authorization under the Connected Vehicles Rule, forcing it to stop selling in the U.S. from the 2027 model year—an example of how China-linked auto tech is getting squeezed. Supply Chain Security: The FCC expanded its 2022 ban on Chinese telecom and video-surveillance gear, extending it to older Huawei/ZTE and Hikvision/Dahua models, with the change set to take effect in July. Manufacturing Decarbonization: Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sanofi Pasteur highlighted a $10.6M RISE PA grant to cut natural-gas use by about 65% at a Monroe County vaccine facility by replacing dehydrators with cleaner equipment. Critical Minerals & Semiconductors: The U.S.-led Pax Silica Summit drew South Korea and India to push AI and semiconductor supply-chain cooperation. Local Manufacturing & Infrastructure: Fort Smith, Arkansas, used a strategy session to prioritize water system funding gaps while pitching manufacturing growth tied to the foreign pilot training center. Legal/Regulatory: The Supreme Court held FIFRA preempts certain state failure-to-warn claims tied to pesticide labels, tightening risk for manufacturers. Energy Equipment: Mitsubishi Heavy plans to double large gas-turbine output by fiscal 2030 as data-center power demand rises.

Defense & Industrial Base: The Senate Armed Services Committee approved its FY2027 NDAA version, with South Dakota-specific funding including $3.23B for B-21 Raider procurement, $4.25B in R&D, and support for Air and Army National Guard maintenance and materials/manufacturing research at South Dakota Mines. Medical Manufacturing Expansion: Idaho’s LiveFree Emergency Response is launching a medical face mask division, aiming for up to 800,000 surgical masks and similar N95 volumes per month, adding as many as 70 jobs to strengthen domestic PPE supply. Supply Chain & Chips: Apple is reportedly lobbying the Trump administration to approve purchases of memory chips from blacklisted Chinese firm CXMT as AI-driven memory costs squeeze margins, following Apple’s recent price hikes. Food Safety & QA: Two infant botulism outbreaks tied to organic whole-milk powdered formula were linked to the same ingredient supplier, raising questions about how the U.S. tests for the pathogen in powdered products. Power & Data Centers: A new investor-focused report argues the U.S. faces a widening electricity gap driven by AI data centers, putting pressure on utilities and power providers. Local Jobs: U.S. Steel will invest $75M in Alabama to add a premium thread line at Fairfield Tubular Operations, while Altec plans a Mount Airy expansion creating 100 jobs. Regulatory Watch: The EPA soot rule rollback bid failed in appeals court, keeping tighter fine-particle limits in place for industrial sources and power plants.

Made-in-America Spotlight: Anchor Hocking of Lancaster, N.C., was named to the Alliance for American Manufacturing’s American-Made 250 Showcase, tying domestic glass cookware to the 250th anniversary push. Composites & Aerospace Supply Chains: Velocity Composites added board executive advisor Declan Grant to deepen North America customer support as aerospace ramps. Distribution Expansion: Biesterfeld expanded Syensqo performance-products distribution to the U.K. and Ireland, aiming to strengthen aerospace composites supply. Footwear Materials Education: Carbitex launched the Center for Better Flex to teach designers and brands how footwear flex affects performance. Defense Industrial Base: The Pentagon blacklisted WuXi STA Pharmaceuticals, putting a $500M Middletown, Del. manufacturing campus at risk; the firm is suing to overturn the designation. Energy Storage Investment: CATL said it will invest in a 100–400 MWh battery energy storage project in Mongolia, including battery component assembly and recycling rules. Pesticide Labeling Ruling: The Supreme Court blocked state-level Roundup “failure to warn” suits, reinforcing EPA label pre-emption for farmers. Trade & Manufacturing Demand: The U.S. goods trade deficit hit a 14-month high in May as imports rose amid war-related supply concerns. EV Market Access: Commerce banned Polestar from selling new EVs in the U.S. starting with MY2027 under the connected-vehicle rule.

Specialty Materials Investment: Dow says it will pour about $100M by end-2027 to expand specialty silicone manufacturing and R&D across the U.S., China, and Japan, including new liquid silicone rubber capacity in Kentucky and engineering silicone materials in Michigan and other sites, plus a new thermal management materials science lab in Midland. Energy Storage Boom: Wood Mackenzie and ACP report the U.S. added a record 3.3 GW/8.4 GWh of energy storage in Q1 2026, with cumulative capacity projected to reach 200 GW/655 GWh by 2031 as battery manufacturing ramps and demand grows. Autonomous Logistics Push: Kratos completed a cross-country autonomous “tandem” haul for NASCAR logistics, highlighting platooning tech as a path to efficiency and driver-shortage relief. Robotics Fulfillment Deal: Trew and Brightpick are partnering to add robotic fulfillment using mobile robots and vision for flexible warehouse automation. Legal/Regulatory Shock to Pharma & Ag: The Supreme Court backed Bayer in Monsanto v. Durnell, limiting state failure-to-warn pesticide lawsuits under FIFRA—potentially wiping out thousands of Roundup-related claims. Manufacturing Workforce Pipeline: A 42-student cohort finished a manufacturing pre-apprenticeship program in Pennsylvania, moving into manufacturing careers.

Auto Labor Watch: A Hyundai Motor strike mandate is now in play after the NLR Commission suspended mediation, with the union set to map a potential walkout over job security and retirement as AI and humanoid robotics reshape the “future vehicles” debate. EV Supply Chain: Gaon Cable’s U.S. unit (LSCUS) landed its first major EV-linked busduct deal—about $40M—for a global EV maker’s AI data center, signaling rising demand for power infrastructure tied to AI buildouts. Defense Materials: The U.S. Army is moving to expand domestic critical-minerals processing via conditional long-term leases at bases in Alabama, Arkansas, Texas and Utah, targeting rare earths and other inputs for advanced manufacturing and weapons systems. Shipbuilding Investment: South Korea’s government-backed banks are gearing up a KUIC-led plan to pour up to $350B into U.S. manufacturing, including $150B for shipbuilding, tied to tariff access. Tech Rules Hit EV Sales: Polestar says the Commerce Department denied authorization under the Connected Vehicles Rule, forcing it to stop new U.S. sales starting with the 2027 model year. Industrial Policy/Power: The Energy Department is offering up to $17.5B in loans to speed development of 10 nuclear reactors, aiming to cut timelines and strengthen supply chains. Courtroom Fallout for Agriculture: The Supreme Court sided with Monsanto/Bayer in Roundup labeling, blocking many state “failure to warn” claims—an outcome that could reshape risk and liability for farm inputs. Semiconductor Push: I-Pulse, backed by BHP, won a $250M CHIPS R&D award to develop silicon-carbide pulsed-power tech for defense and industrial uses. U.S. Manufacturing Economy: BEA’s latest GDP read shows 2.1% annualized growth in Q1, but with softer consumer spending and growth driven by government and information.

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